Speaker: Dr. Antony Ware, University of Calgary
Location: Mathematical Sciences 431
Date: Thursday, March 02, 2017
Title: Reliability-constrained hydropower valuation
Abstract: Maximizing the long-term value of hydropower generation requires management of uncertain reservoir inflows, potentially variable constraints on outflows, and exposure to possibly wildly varying power prices. In this talk we present a stochastic dynamic programming approach to the quantification of reservoir reliability (for example, measures of the risk of over-topping the reservoir or failing to satisfy downstream flow requirements) and a related approach to determining the reservoir flow strategy that maximizes expected revenue, subject to defined target reliability levels.